Ecri Ecri

Established in 1996, the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) has developed a reputation as the preeminent source for unbiased information on current business cycles. Geoffrey H. Moore founded the organization to continue the work that he originally started at the National Bureau of Economic Research. ECRI builds on the approach that Moore helped to develop, accurately predicting each of the last three recessions and the recovery in 2009. ECRI produces several different reports and indexes, covering 20 different world economies and all major market sectors. ECRI is known for its Weekly Leading Index (WLI), the successor to the Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) that Moore originally developed in the 1960s to show weekly shifts in the leading indicators of economic activity. In addition, the organization releases a monthly inflation index referred to as the Future Inflation Gauge (FIG). Instead of using the same econometric models as traditional economists, the team at ECRI examines specific event sequences to predict future shifts in trends. The unique methodology of ECRI has been touted by several of the world’s top business media outlets, including Forbes Magazine, the Harvard Business Review, The New York Times, and The Economist. ECRI receives funding through service memberships that provide access to its original research. Three different levels are available, all of which include access to four professional reports and the ECRI proprietary database, which contains more than 100 unique indexes. Higher levels of membership allow access by multiple users and private advisory sessions. In addition, ECRI provides a wealth of information on business cycles and related economic topics at www.businesscycle.com.